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2011-01-07

Model Predictions

Model Bradley Braves Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 67.2% 32.8% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 28.3% 71.7% +5.1 (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.0% 37.0% -
Log Adjusted 62.7% 37.3% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +6 (64-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Warren 39 8-21 4-11 0-0 6 0 3 0 2 20 6 -
D. Dunson 35 5-9 1-2 1-3 7 1 1 0 0 12 12 -
D. Simms-Edwards 26 4-9 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 1 3 8 3 -
J. Eastman 26 1-2 0-1 2-2 5 2 0 0 1 4 8 -
A. Thompson 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
J. Prosser 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 4 4 -
W. Lemon Jr. 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 2 0 0 -
W. Egolf 14 2-4 0-1 2-3 3 0 0 1 2 6 4 -
M. Knezevic 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rice 35 3-9 0-3 6-8 8 3 1 3 5 12 13 -
S. VanDeest 32 5-10 0-0 7-10 5 4 0 2 0 17 18 -
R. Wedel 30 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 0 -
B. Simons 29 3-12 1-5 4-4 0 1 0 0 1 11 -1 -
K. Woods 23 2-3 0-0 0-1 7 1 0 0 0 4 9 -
K. Alexander 18 2-3 0-0 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 5 4 -
A. Hawley 18 4-7 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 10 5 -
D. Smith 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Uhlenhopp 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter