Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.4% | 12.6% | -10.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles -17 (65-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robinson | 33 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - |
| N. Gadson | 30 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 19 | - |
| D. Stewart | 28 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| B. Penn | 27 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. Thompson | 27 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 19 | - |
| M. Ringgold | 26 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| A. Myles | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| T. Pereira | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| P. Mansell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jordan | 38 | 6-20 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | - |
| K. Edwards | 35 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Nelson | 32 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| M. Lemmons | 25 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| S. Jones | 23 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Gillette | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Moore | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| E. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| P. Kowalski | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Kortekaas | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter