Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +25 (88-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson | 38 | 5-17 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 0 | - |
| J. Cobb | 32 | 8-19 | 1-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Shurna | 21 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| D. Crawford | 19 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| D. Curletti | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Capocci | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Fruendt | 5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. Hearn | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Nichols | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. McCamey | 28 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M. Davis | 26 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 23 | - |
| B. Paul | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 21 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 21 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 2 | - |
| B. Cole | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Leonard | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Richmond | 16 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
| T. Griffey | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| C. Head | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Berardini | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Selus | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter