Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.0% | 46.0% | -0.9 | ✓ (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -12 (77-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmer Fredette | 40 | 12-25 | 7-13 | 8-10 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 39 | 23 | - |
| Noah Hartsock | 37 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jackson Emery | 34 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Collinsworth | 32 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Davies | 29 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Charles Abouo | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Logan Magnusson | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Stephen Rogers | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre'Von Willis | 36 | 4-16 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Oscar Bellfield | 35 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Chace Stanback | 29 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Derrick Jasper | 27 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Marshall | 24 | 9-12 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Brice Massamba | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter