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2011-01-05

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars UNLV Rebels Spread Result
Elo 89.6% 10.4% -
Bradley-Terry 57.3% 42.7% -
Margin 56.9% 43.1% -1.5 (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% -
Efficiency 78.2% 21.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% -
Log Adjusted 55.5% 44.5% -

Actual: UNLV Rebels -12 (77-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Fredette 40 12-25 7-13 8-10 6 5 1 0 3 39 23 -
N. Hartsock 37 2-7 1-3 1-1 7 0 0 1 2 6 5 -
J. Emery 34 8-13 6-9 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 22 15 -
K. Collinsworth 32 0-4 0-1 3-4 3 3 0 0 4 3 1 -
B. Davies 29 5-9 0-0 5-7 10 1 0 1 1 15 17 -
C. Abouo 18 0-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
L. Magnusson 7 1-1 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
S. Rogers 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Willis 36 4-16 2-8 4-4 7 2 1 0 2 14 6 -
O. Bellfield 35 3-9 2-5 2-2 3 4 2 0 2 10 8 -
C. Stanback 29 3-5 1-1 0-0 7 2 1 1 4 7 9 -
D. Jasper 27 0-6 0-2 0-2 8 2 1 0 0 0 5 -
A. Marshall 24 9-12 2-3 6-8 3 2 2 3 2 26 22 -
B. Massamba 21 4-7 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 0 1 10 9 -
J. Hawkins 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 4 2 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 9 2-5 0-0 2-5 1 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Q. Thomas 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter