Model Predictions
| Model | Marshall Thundering Herd | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +7 (65-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Marshall Thundering Herd
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Johnson | 29 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. Pitts | 28 | 2-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Baines | 27 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Kane | 27 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| N. Spikes | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| J. Thomas | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Pena | 16 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| O. Allen | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Higgins | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| A. Williams | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Jordan | 38 | 9-17 | 0-2 | 8-12 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 19 | - |
| Keith Clanton | 35 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Isaac Sosa | 30 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| A.J. Rompza | 27 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Tom Herzog | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Dave Diakite | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dwight McCombs | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jarvis Davis | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter