Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.8% | 37.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 74.1% | 25.9% | -5.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.6% | 50.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -3 (62-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Green | 33 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 18 | - |
| K. Lucas | 28 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | - |
| K. Appling | 27 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| D. Roe | 27 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 17 | - |
| K. Lucious | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| D. Summers | 26 | 4-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| G. Sherman | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Thornton | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Payne | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Kebler | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thompson | 40 | 5-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| J. Shurna | 39 | 1-11 | 1-5 | 8-11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Crawford | 37 | 5-16 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 12 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 25 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Cobb | 24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 16 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Curletti | 15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Capocci | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter