Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.1% | 54.9% | +1.1 | ✓ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +8 (69-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Taylor | 38 | 6-16 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| J. Leuer | 38 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 8 | - |
| K. Nankivil | 31 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Jarmusz | 25 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Bruesewitz | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Gasser | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Berggren | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| R. Wilson | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Evans | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Valentyn | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Davis | 37 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| D. McCamey | 35 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 11-15 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 21 | - |
| D.J. Richardson | 31 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| B. Cole | 29 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 29 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| B. Paul | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Richmond | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Leonard | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Griffey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter