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2010-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 17.3% 82.7% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 23.0% 77.0% - โœ“
Margin 14.5% 85.5% +9.8 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 12.4% 87.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 12.1% 87.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +13 (82-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Michael Thompson 39 7-12 3-4 1-1 3 2 1 0 5 18 7 -
John Shurna 34 4-8 1-2 2-5 4 2 1 2 1 11 11 -
Drew Crawford 32 1-6 0-1 1-2 10 2 1 2 1 3 11 -
JerShon Cobb 30 5-11 0-3 2-2 2 3 1 0 1 12 6 -
Luka Mirkovic 29 6-12 2-2 2-4 1 2 0 0 2 16 5 -
Alex Marcotullio 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Mike Capocci 10 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 2 2 1 0 3 8 -
Davide Curletti 9 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 2 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E'Twaun Moore 39 11-20 7-13 2-5 7 3 2 1 0 31 24 -
JaJuan Johnson 37 6-12 0-0 7-9 9 1 1 1 3 19 16 -
Ryne Smith 31 2-7 2-7 7-7 4 3 1 0 0 13 14 -
Lewis Jackson 31 3-4 0-0 2-2 3 5 0 1 4 8 9 -
Terone Johnson 23 1-6 0-4 2-4 4 4 0 0 2 4 4 -
Kelsey Barlow 20 1-2 0-0 3-6 3 1 1 0 1 5 7 -
D.J. Byrd 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
Travis Carroll 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter