Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.1% | 73.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.2% | 88.8% | +11.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +9 (71-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hoffarber | 34 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Nolen | 30 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Sampson III | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| R. Williams | 26 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Mbakwe | 22 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 13 | - |
| C. Iverson | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D. Joseph | 21 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -1 | - |
| C. Armelin | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Hollins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 33 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| D. Summers | 31 | 6-16 | 4-11 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 7 | - |
| D. Green | 30 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 15 | - |
| K. Lucious | 28 | 4-10 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| D. Roe | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| K. Appling | 21 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| G. Sherman | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Payne | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Thornton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Nix | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Kebler | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter