Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.8% | 46.2% | -0.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.4% | 26.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -15 (63-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Liggins | 39 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Harrellson | 37 | 10-12 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 28 | - |
| B. Knight | 36 | 7-13 | 4-6 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 14 | - |
| T. Jones | 33 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| D. Miller | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| D. Lamb | 23 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| E. Vargas | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Hood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Kuric | 37 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| P. Knowles | 37 | 8-16 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| C. Smith | 33 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| P. Siva | 33 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Jennings | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| G. Dieng | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| M. Marra | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Smith | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Justice | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Henderson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter