Model Predictions
| Model | Princeton Tigers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.8% | 69.2% | +4.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights +6 (68-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Princeton Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Mavraides | 36 | 6-12 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 13 | - |
| Ian Hummer | 33 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Doug Davis | 31 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Kareem Maddox | 28 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Patrick Saunders | 24 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brendan Connolly | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Mack Darrow | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T.J. Bray | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Jimmy Sherburne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Clanton | 35 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A.J. Rompza | 33 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Jordan | 32 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 11-13 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tom Herzog | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Isaac Sosa | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| A.J. Tyler | 10 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Dave Diakite | 9 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P.J. Gaynor | 4 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Dwight McCombs | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter