Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | UNC Greensboro Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 98.4% | 1.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.8% | 2.2% | -20.8 | ✓ (25.2 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Greensboro Spartans -46 (62-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Smith | 32 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 7-10 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 31 | - |
| Kyle Singler | 29 | 10-13 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Seth Curry | 26 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 23 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 18 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 16 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
UNC Greensboro Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Randall | 31 | 3-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| Korey VanDussen | 28 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Trevis Simpson | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Aloysius Henry | 21 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -4 | - |
| Cody Henegar | 19 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Brackett | 17 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Brandon Evans | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Brian Cole | 16 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Drew Parker | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| David Williams | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Elhanan Bone | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brandon Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyler McNeely | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter