Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Iowa Hawkeyes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✗ (13.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -10 (77-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson | 35 | 5-7 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| D. McCamey | 35 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 19 | - |
| M. Davis | 30 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| B. Cole | 28 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| J. Richmond | 24 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 21 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| B. Paul | 17 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| M. Leonard | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Griffey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
Iowa Hawkeyes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Gatens | 40 | 7-14 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Zach McCabe | 31 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Bryce Cartwright | 30 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Eric May | 27 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jarryd Cole | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| D. Marble | 21 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Andrew Brommer | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Melsahn Basabe | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Devon Archie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jordan Stoermer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter