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2010-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Iowa Hawkeyes Spread Result
Elo 77.2% 22.8% -
Bradley-Terry 32.4% 67.6% -
Margin 36.6% 63.4% +3.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 92.6% 7.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.9% 29.1% -
Log Adjusted 71.3% 28.7% -

Actual: Iowa Hawkeyes -10 (77-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Richardson 35 5-7 5-7 2-3 1 5 1 0 2 17 15 -
D. McCamey 35 7-10 4-5 2-2 3 10 1 0 5 20 19 -
M. Davis 30 7-12 0-0 1-1 3 0 1 0 1 15 6 -
B. Cole 28 4-4 4-4 2-2 6 1 1 0 1 14 17 -
J. Richmond 24 5-7 0-1 2-2 5 2 0 0 2 12 10 -
M. Tisdale 21 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 2 2 6 10 -
B. Paul 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
M. Leonard 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 1 0 -1 -
T. Griffey 4 0-0 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 0 1 1 2 -

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Gatens 40 7-14 5-10 2-2 1 4 1 0 2 21 11 -
Z. McCabe 31 2-8 1-5 1-1 3 1 1 0 3 6 0 -
B. Cartwright 30 6-12 0-2 1-2 3 5 1 0 3 13 7 -
E. May 27 3-8 2-4 4-8 2 0 0 0 2 12 4 -
J. Cole 25 5-6 0-0 0-0 9 1 2 0 0 10 16 -
D. Marble 21 4-8 1-3 0-2 2 1 2 0 2 9 4 -
A. Brommer 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
M. Basabe 12 2-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 0 -
D. Archie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Stoermer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter