Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✗ (24.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.0% | 14.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines -23 (57-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E'Twaun Moore | 36 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 20 | - |
| JaJuan Johnson | 35 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 10-10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 22 | 18 | - |
| Ryne Smith | 31 | 6-7 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Terone Johnson | 26 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| D.J. Byrd | 22 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lewis Jackson | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kelsey Barlow | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Sandi Marcius | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Travis Carroll | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Patrick Bade | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bubba Day | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dru Anthrop | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stu Douglass | 37 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Darius Morris | 32 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Zack Novak | 30 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Morgan | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Evan Smotrycz | 15 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jon Horford | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Colton Christian | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Josh Bartelstein | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Eso Akunne | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter