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2010-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 9.2% 90.8% -
Bradley-Terry 41.3% 58.7% -
Margin 24.8% 75.2% +6.1 (17.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% -
Efficiency 63.4% 36.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.1% 76.9% -
Log Adjusted 23.6% 76.4% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. English 36 3-8 2-4 0-0 6 5 3 0 2 8 12 -
M. Denmon 35 4-11 1-4 6-6 2 3 3 0 1 15 11 -
M. Dixon Jr. 31 2-6 1-2 5-6 4 6 1 0 3 10 12 -
L. Bowers 28 5-9 0-0 3-5 9 2 0 3 1 13 17 -
R. Ratliffe 27 5-11 0-1 2-4 5 0 0 1 1 12 6 -
J. Safford 16 5-7 0-0 1-3 3 2 0 0 2 11 7 -
S. Moore 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Pressey 10 1-5 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
R. Kreklow 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Sutton 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McCamey 39 6-14 2-6 0-0 1 6 1 2 4 14 6 -
M. Davis 34 7-13 0-0 3-6 8 3 0 1 2 17 14 -
M. Tisdale 34 4-10 0-0 1-2 13 0 0 0 3 9 9 -
D.J. Richardson 29 3-10 1-6 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 7 1 -
J. Richmond 25 2-7 0-0 1-2 7 4 0 1 1 5 9 -
B. Paul 20 3-11 1-4 0-2 4 2 0 0 1 7 1 -
T. Griffey 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
B. Cole 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 3 5 -
M. Leonard 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
J. Selus 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Head 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Berardini 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Bertrand 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter