Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.2% | 36.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.8% | 33.2% | -3.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -12 (55-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tristan Thompson | 38 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Jordan Hamilton | 36 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 36 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Gary Johnson | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Matt Hill | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J'Covan Brown | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dogus Balbay | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Alexis Wangmene | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jai Lucas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalin Lucas | 33 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Durrell Summers | 32 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Delvon Roe | 27 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Draymond Green | 21 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Keith Appling | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Korie Lucious | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| Garrick Sherman | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Derrick Nix | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Austin Thornton | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Adreian Payne | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mike Kebler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter