Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.0% | 79.0% | +7.3 | ✗ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.6% | 21.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans -12 (55-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Thompson | 38 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 15 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 21 | - |
| J. Hamilton | 36 | 9-19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| C. Joseph | 36 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| G. Johnson | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Hill | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Brown | 17 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Balbay | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Wangmene | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lucas | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 33 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| D. Summers | 32 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| D. Roe | 27 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| D. Green | 21 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| K. Appling | 20 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| K. Lucious | 19 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | - |
| G. Sherman | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| D. Nix | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| A. Thornton | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Payne | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Kebler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter