Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.8% | 99.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +36.9 | ✓ (3.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +40 (93-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris De La Rosa | 37 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Travis King | 23 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Adrian Satchell | 23 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Brian Neller | 20 | 0-8 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Bakari Smith | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Jamar Wertz | 19 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Chase Plummer | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Laurence Jolicoeur | 16 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Justin Fry | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Matt Conway | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jake Wasco | 5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Abromaitis | 26 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 23 | - |
| Ben Hansbrough | 23 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Eric Atkins | 22 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tyrone Nash | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Carleton Scott | 22 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Scott Martin | 21 | 6-10 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 7 | - |
| Joey Brooks | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jack Cooley | 13 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Mike Broghammer | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Alex Dragicevich | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| Tom Knight | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tom Kopko | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter