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2010-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Harvard Crimson UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 1.4% 98.6% -
Bradley-Terry 13.2% 86.8% -
Margin 5.3% 94.7% +15.8 (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 9.5% 90.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +29 (81-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Wright 36 8-12 0-0 2-4 7 1 2 0 3 18 13 -
O. McNally 34 0-3 0-2 2-2 2 0 3 1 2 2 3 -
B. Curry 30 4-8 2-6 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 10 2 -
L. Rivard 28 4-13 2-10 2-2 3 0 1 1 1 12 3 -
C. Webster 25 0-9 0-7 2-2 1 3 0 0 3 2 -6 -
K. Casey 21 2-10 0-3 4-4 6 1 1 0 2 8 4 -
A. Van Nest 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
U. Okam 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Brown 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Walker 33 8-17 2-4 2-3 0 4 0 0 3 20 4 -
A. Oriakhi 26 3-8 0-0 4-4 9 0 1 0 2 10 10 -
J. Lamb 25 5-7 1-2 0-1 4 2 0 0 2 11 8 -
R. Smith 23 2-4 1-1 4-6 7 1 1 2 1 9 15 -
S. Napier 19 3-7 2-3 1-1 2 6 4 0 1 9 13 -
C. Okwandu 19 3-3 0-0 0-1 2 1 1 2 2 6 7 -
T. Olander 17 3-3 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 1 0 7 12 -
E. Wolf 13 1-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 2 3 4 -
N. Giffey 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 2 2 1 -
J. Coombs-McDaniel 9 0-2 0-1 4-4 1 0 1 0 0 4 4 -
D. Beverly 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter