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2010-12-21

Model Predictions

Model USC Trojans Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 38.3% 61.7% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 11.8% 88.2% +11.1 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.6% 49.4% -
Efficiency 50.5% 49.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.5% 41.5% -
Log Adjusted 58.9% 41.1% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers -1 (64-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jones 39 5-11 3-5 2-4 4 4 4 0 2 15 14 -
A. Stepheson 39 5-7 0-0 3-4 7 0 1 0 2 13 12 -
D. Smith 30 2-9 2-8 0-0 0 5 0 1 0 6 3 -
J. Fontan 30 6-10 0-1 1-1 2 4 3 0 2 13 10 -
N. Vucevic 24 2-6 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 4 -2 -
B. Dejean-Jones 23 4-8 3-4 0-0 6 2 2 0 3 11 10 -
M. Simmons 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
G. Jackson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Harris 31 4-9 0-3 6-6 3 2 0 0 0 14 10 -
C. Tatum 30 3-8 2-3 4-4 7 3 0 1 4 12 11 -
S. Hopson 30 1-5 0-1 6-6 4 1 2 0 6 8 4 -
M. Goins 29 3-5 1-3 3-4 5 3 0 0 1 10 12 -
B. Williams 26 3-7 0-0 3-6 9 1 1 0 2 9 11 -
J. Fields 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 1 4 7 -
T. Golden 11 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 3 -
S. McBee 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Maymon 9 1-3 0-1 2-3 3 0 1 0 3 4 2 -
S. Pearl 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
R. Woolridge 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter