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2010-12-21

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 29.1% 70.9% -
Margin 27.1% 72.9% +5.4 (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.0% 48.0% -
Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.0% 52.0% -
Log Adjusted 48.1% 51.9% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -4 (59-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Bellfield 37 2-10 1-4 6-6 0 3 0 1 5 11 0 -
T. Willis 34 6-13 0-4 4-4 4 2 0 0 2 16 7 -
C. Stanback 33 2-9 1-3 2-2 3 2 2 0 1 7 4 -
D. Jasper 27 2-7 0-1 2-2 8 0 1 0 1 6 7 -
B. Massamba 22 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
A. Marshall 20 4-7 0-0 3-7 3 2 2 0 2 11 9 -
J. Hawkins 15 0-3 0-1 2-2 2 1 3 0 1 2 4 -
Q. Thomas 7 3-4 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Samuels 33 3-9 0-1 5-9 9 2 0 0 2 11 11 -
R. McGruder 29 5-13 0-4 1-2 10 0 3 1 4 11 8 -
W. Spradling 28 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 6 1 -
N. Russell 25 3-6 1-2 5-6 3 2 0 0 5 12 6 -
M. Irving 25 5-11 0-2 0-0 3 1 2 0 4 10 1 -
F. Asprilla 17 1-3 0-0 1-4 3 0 1 0 0 3 4 -
J. Henriquez 16 1-3 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
W. Judge 15 1-1 0-0 0-3 4 0 0 0 2 2 3 -
V. Ojeleye 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
S. Southwell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Myles 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter