Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.1% | 84.9% | +9.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +6 (62-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams | 37 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| A. Caloiaro | 36 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | - |
| P. Blackwell | 33 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| C. Doolin | 29 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Green | 23 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| M. Diarra | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| J. Raffington | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Johnson | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Standifer | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Dickerson | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Leonard | 37 | 10-16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 22 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 34 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| M. Thomas | 32 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| B. White | 31 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Tapley | 26 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Rahon | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Shelton | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Williams | 3 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| L. Franklin | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter