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2010-12-21

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 9.9% 90.1% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 15.1% 84.9% +9.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 20.1% 79.9% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +6 (62-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams 37 6-10 2-4 2-4 6 2 0 0 4 16 10 -
A. Caloiaro 36 5-9 4-7 0-1 6 2 2 0 1 14 14 -
P. Blackwell 33 5-11 0-0 4-6 4 2 3 0 2 14 10 -
C. Doolin 29 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 2 0 2 -
R. Green 23 3-9 0-4 1-1 4 0 1 0 3 7 0 -
M. Diarra 13 1-2 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 3 1 -
J. Raffington 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
A. Johnson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 0 3 -
C. Standifer 6 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
C. Dickerson 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Leonard 37 10-16 2-4 1-2 14 2 2 1 4 23 22 -
D.J. Gay 34 4-9 2-5 4-5 1 3 0 0 1 14 8 -
M. Thomas 32 3-6 0-0 4-5 4 1 0 3 2 10 10 -
B. White 31 4-6 0-1 0-1 1 2 1 2 3 8 5 -
C. Tapley 26 2-3 0-1 0-0 3 2 2 0 3 4 5 -
J. Rahon 18 0-4 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
T. Shelton 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
B. Carlwell 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Williams 3 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
L. Franklin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter