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2010-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Elon Phoenix Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 2.8% 97.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 4.8% 95.2% - โœ“
Margin 0.7% 99.3% +27.2 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +26 (98-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Long 32 4-8 2-3 4-5 4 5 0 0 4 14 11 -
Drew Spradlin 31 2-8 2-4 0-0 5 2 1 0 2 6 4 -
Jack Isenbarger 28 6-12 1-4 8-8 3 1 0 0 3 21 10 -
Lucas Troutman 28 5-10 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 2 2 10 6 -
Roger Dugas 22 3-7 2-5 3-3 3 0 0 0 1 11 6 -
Sebastian Koch 16 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
Ryley Beaumont 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 2 0 -
Terrance Birdette 15 2-6 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 4 0 -
Scott Grable 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 2 1 -
Daniel Watts 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Brett Ervin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Singler 37 6-16 3-5 9-11 7 5 2 0 2 24 20 -
Andre Dawkins 32 5-9 3-6 4-5 4 4 2 0 1 17 17 -
Seth Curry 30 3-8 2-6 2-2 2 0 2 0 1 10 5 -
M. Plumlee 28 3-7 0-0 0-1 8 1 2 0 2 6 8 -
Ryan Kelly 21 4-8 1-3 4-4 3 6 0 1 2 13 13 -
Nolan Smith 21 9-11 2-2 2-3 6 4 0 0 4 22 17 -
M. Plumlee 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 7 1 2 0 1 2 8 -
Tyler Thornton 7 0-0 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Josh Hairston 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Casey Peters 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter