Model Predictions
| Model | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.4% | 39.6% | -2.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears -4 (64-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Demetri Goodson | 31 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Marquise Carter | 26 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 7-8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Robert Sacre | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Mathis Monninghoff | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk | 21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Sam Dower | 20 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Elias Harris | 18 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Steven Gray | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Manny Arop | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
| David Stockton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Mike Hart | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaceDarius Dunn | 36 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 7 | - |
| A.J. Walton | 35 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Quincy Acy | 33 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Perry Jones | 32 | 8-15 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Anthony Jones | 32 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J'mison Morgan | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Fred Ellis | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Nolan Dennis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter