Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 20.2% | 79.8% | +7.6 | ✗ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.5% | 38.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -2 (76-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Hamilton | 35 | 10-18 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 16 | - |
| Cory Joseph | 35 | 8-14 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Gary Johnson | 33 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | - |
| J'Covan Brown | 26 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Matt Hill | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Dogus Balbay | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tristan Thompson | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Alexis Wangmene | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jai Lucas | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Barnes | 31 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Dexter Strickland | 30 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Larry Drew | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| John Henson | 25 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Tyler Zeller | 24 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Justin Knox | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Kendall Marshall | 15 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Leslie McDonald | 10 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| Reggie Bullock | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Justin Watts | 8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
* = starter