Model Predictions
| Model | UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.7 | ✓ (11.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +26 (90-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Nunnally | 36 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| O. Johnson | 34 | 6-18 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| W. Brew | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | - |
| J. Joyner | 18 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| L. Devenny | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Weiner | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Somogyi | 13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Pastorek | 12 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Serna | 12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| K. Boswell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Leaf | 11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Leonard | 33 | 4-11 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 28 | 4-9 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| M. Thomas | 27 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 23 | - |
| B. White | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Rahon | 25 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - |
| C. Tapley | 24 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 12 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| T. Shelton | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| L. Franklin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Franklin | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Williams | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter