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2010-12-14

Model Predictions

Model North Florida Ospreys Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 4.2% 95.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 12.1% 87.9% - โœ“
Margin 0.7% 99.3% +27.1 โœ“ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 19.5% 80.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 8.8% 91.2% - โœ“

Actual: Texas Longhorns +22 (70-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Florida Ospreys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jerron Granberry 28 3-14 2-8 2-2 2 1 0 0 1 10 -2 -
Parker Smith 25 1-7 1-6 2-2 0 0 1 0 4 5 -5 -
Brad Haugabrook 25 2-7 0-0 2-4 1 1 0 0 5 6 -4 -
Jimmy Williams 24 3-7 0-0 2-6 1 1 0 0 4 8 -1 -
Matt Sauey 22 1-3 0-0 0-1 9 0 2 0 2 2 8 -
Andy Diaz 20 2-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 0 2 5 6 -
Charles McRoy 18 1-6 0-1 0-0 9 0 1 0 0 2 6 -
Brian Holmes 16 2-3 0-1 6-6 2 2 1 0 0 10 12 -
Kyle Groothuis 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
David Jeune 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
William Wilson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gary Johnson 32 5-9 0-2 7-9 12 1 0 1 4 17 18 -
Jai Lucas 30 2-9 0-2 2-3 1 4 1 0 0 6 3 -
Cory Joseph 29 6-13 4-8 2-2 5 1 1 0 3 18 9 -
Matt Hill 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 3 0 4 11 -
Tristan Thompson 21 3-11 0-0 3-6 8 1 2 2 2 9 9 -
Dogus Balbay 19 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 1 5 -
Jordan Hamilton 18 4-13 1-3 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 9 5 -
J'Covan Brown 12 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 1 0 1 3 1 1 -
Alexis Wangmene 12 0-2 0-0 4-4 5 0 0 1 1 4 7 -
Andrew Dick 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
Dean Melchionni 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Trent Morgan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter