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2010-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Cal Poly Mustangs San Diego State Aztecs Spread Result
Elo 2.3% 97.7% -
Bradley-Terry 13.8% 86.2% -
Margin 2.7% 97.3% +19.7 (13.7 off)
Pythagorean 33.7% 66.3% -
Efficiency 13.9% 86.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +6 (51-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hanson 38 3-12 2-5 4-5 3 0 3 0 4 12 2 -
W. Donahue 37 4-12 0-0 0-1 8 0 1 0 2 8 3 -
S. Lewis 35 4-14 3-10 3-3 7 1 0 1 0 14 9 -
M. Love 25 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 0 -2 -
C. O'Brien 22 1-3 1-1 1-1 1 1 0 0 2 4 1 -
J. Lewis 19 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 6 8 -
J. Johnson 15 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 2 2 0 1 1 4 -
R. Pembleton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
B. Kelly 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
D. Royer 1 0-0 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Gay 39 1-11 0-7 8-8 1 2 0 0 3 10 -1 -
J. Rahon 37 6-13 0-4 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 14 6 -
M. Thomas 36 7-9 0-0 4-6 15 3 1 5 1 18 32 -
B. White 26 1-3 0-1 4-4 4 2 2 3 1 6 13 -
L. Franklin 23 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 2 0 5 0 -3 -
J. Franklin 20 1-4 0-2 0-2 6 1 0 2 3 2 4 -
T. Shelton 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
B. Carlwell 4 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
M. Cheriet 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter