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Northern Colorado Bears 76
@
Illinois Fighting Illini 86
2010-12-12

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 1.3% 98.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 16.3% 83.7% - ✓
Margin 3.2% 96.8% +18.7 ✓ (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.3% 59.7% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 2.0% 98.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.9% 98.1% - ✓

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +10 (86-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Beitzel 34 3-10 1-5 6-7 1 1 2 0 2 13 5 -
C. Kaba 33 2-11 2-4 4-4 6 4 0 0 4 10 5 -
E. Lloyd 33 5-9 4-7 2-3 2 5 2 0 6 16 10 -
T. Montgomery 30 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 2 3 -
E. Addo 30 6-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 3 12 9 -
N. Kingman 29 7-9 5-6 2-2 5 2 1 1 4 21 17 -
P. Garnica 11 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 2 -1 -
M. Bedford 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. McCamey 32 4-7 3-6 0-0 2 8 2 0 2 11 14 -
D.J. Richardson 31 4-10 4-9 2-3 2 5 1 1 2 14 11 -
M. Davis 29 6-12 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 1 1 12 11 -
M. Tisdale 27 5-11 0-0 4-6 7 1 1 2 4 14 10 -
B. Paul 23 2-8 1-3 0-1 2 4 0 0 1 5 2 -
B. Cole 21 3-4 2-3 4-4 3 1 1 0 1 12 12 -
J. Richmond 17 4-6 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 8 3 -
T. Griffey 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
C. Head 7 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Berardini 1 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Selus 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Bertrand 1 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

* = starter