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2010-12-11

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 90.8% 9.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 54.6% 45.4% - โœ—
Margin 72.8% 27.2% -5.4 โœ— (9.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.3% 52.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.6% 86.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.3% 86.7% - โœ“

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +4 (83-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Steven Gray 37 6-13 5-10 1-2 2 8 0 0 1 18 14 -
Robert Sacre 36 8-13 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 2 2 16 10 -
Manny Arop 32 5-6 4-5 2-2 5 0 0 0 3 16 12 -
Demetri Goodson 25 0-4 0-1 0-0 1 4 1 0 0 0 2 -
Elias Harris 24 6-9 1-2 6-6 5 4 1 1 2 19 19 -
Marquise Carter 14 2-5 0-1 1-2 0 1 1 0 0 5 2 -
Mathis Monninghoff 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
Kelly Olynyk 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
Sam Dower 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Mike Hart 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
David Stockton 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tim Abromaitis 39 7-13 4-6 3-3 8 4 0 0 1 21 19 -
Ben Hansbrough 36 3-7 1-2 6-9 3 3 1 0 2 13 11 -
Scott Martin 35 3-6 2-3 1-2 3 2 0 0 3 9 5 -
Eric Atkins 34 3-9 1-4 5-10 7 3 1 0 0 12 14 -
Tyrone Nash 24 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 5 1 0 1 3 7 -
Carleton Scott 21 6-9 3-5 8-9 4 2 0 1 1 23 20 -
Jack Cooley 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 2 4 -
Mike Broghammer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joey Brooks 1 0-0 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter