Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego Toreros | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +28.9 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.6% | 92.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +28 (77-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darian Norris | 33 | 3-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Matt Dorr | 27 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Chris Manresa | 24 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Devin Ginty | 24 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Joran Mackie | 23 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Ken Rancifer | 22 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Chris Gabriel | 15 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Trevor Fuller | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Dennis Kramer | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Cameron Miles | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Ryan Harbour | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Mitch Woolpert | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Thomas | 29 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 20 | 20 | - |
| K. Leonard | 29 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 14 | - |
| D.J. Gay | 27 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | - |
| C. Tapley | 26 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. White | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Rahon | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| L. Franklin | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| J. Franklin | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Shelton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Williams | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter