Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels +3 (75-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Arnold | 37 | 5-15 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 8 | - |
| L. Anderson | 33 | 8-15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 18 | 5 | - |
| W. Perryman | 31 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| D. Montreal | 29 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| P. Noonan | 25 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| R. Watkins | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Z. Moritz | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Elorriaga | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Bropleh | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Bellfield | 35 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| T. Willis | 32 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 15 | - |
| C. Stanback | 31 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| D. Jasper | 29 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| J. Hawkins | 18 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| A. Marshall | 15 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Massamba | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Lopez-Sosa | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter