Model Predictions
| Model | San Francisco Dons | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.5% | 89.5% | +11.8 | ✓ (14.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.8% | 78.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +26 (61-35). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams | 36 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | - |
| A. Caloiaro | 33 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Blackwell | 31 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| A. Johnson | 24 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| C. Dickerson | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| J. Raffington | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Diarra | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| C. Standifer | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| C. Doolin | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Knowles | 31 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | - |
| R. Buckles | 27 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| C. Smith | 24 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| M. Marra | 22 | 1-10 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -5 | - |
| P. Siva | 22 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| T. Jennings | 19 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 16 | - |
| G. Dieng | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| G. Goode | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Justice | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Van Treese | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Smith | 6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| T. Henderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter