Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.5% | 44.5% | -1.2 | ✗ (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange +14 (72-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 34 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | - |
| K. Lucious | 32 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| D. Summers | 31 | 7-15 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| D. Green | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | - |
| D. Roe | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| K. Appling | 14 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| D. Nix | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| G. Sherman | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| A. Thornton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Payne | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Kebler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Jackson | 37 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 17 | - |
| K. Joseph | 34 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 8-9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | - |
| S. Jardine | 32 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| B. Triche | 29 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| B. Keita | 27 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Waiters | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| F. Melo | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Fair | 9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
* = starter