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2010-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 8.2% 91.8% -
Bradley-Terry 13.9% 86.1% -
Margin 7.0% 93.0% +14.2 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 32.5% 67.5% -
Efficiency 3.6% 96.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 2.1% 97.9% -
Log Adjusted 1.8% 98.2% -

Actual: Washington Huskies +22 (94-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Mitrovic 33 5-12 5-10 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 15 0 -
J. Stohl 32 5-14 2-8 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 12 2 -
L. Sikma 30 7-10 0-0 0-2 16 1 1 0 1 14 21 -
K. Knutson 25 2-3 0-0 2-4 2 1 0 1 0 6 7 -
D. Rodgers 24 2-4 0-0 4-5 2 1 0 0 1 8 6 -
E. Waterford 21 1-5 1-3 0-0 1 4 0 0 4 3 -1 -
T. Douglas 16 4-9 0-2 4-5 1 3 0 0 2 12 5 -
J. Hannibal 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Barker 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Riley 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Thieleke 2 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
R. Nicholas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Holiday 33 5-7 3-4 7-8 6 1 1 0 2 20 19 -
I. Thomas 31 7-13 1-2 5-9 7 4 0 0 2 20 16 -
M. Bryan-Amaning 25 5-7 0-0 5-8 6 2 3 1 2 15 18 -
A. Gaddy 25 3-6 2-3 0-0 3 6 0 0 1 8 10 -
V. Overton 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 4 3 0 1 2 7 -
D. Gant 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
S. Suggs 18 4-7 3-6 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 13 8 -
C. Wilcox 13 2-5 2-4 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 6 3 -
A. N'Diaye 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
T. Ross 4 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
B. Sherrer 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Hosley 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter