Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.3% | 80.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✗ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -12 (61-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson | 37 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - |
| M. Davis | 33 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Tisdale | 31 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| D. McCamey | 30 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| B. Paul | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| B. Cole | 21 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Richmond | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. Leonard | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Griffey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Gray | 40 | 3-12 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| R. Sacre | 32 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| M. Arop | 30 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Goodson | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| E. Harris | 24 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| K. Olynyk | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Monninghoff | 11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| M. Carter | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| S. Dower | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Stockton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter