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2010-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 53.9% 46.1% -
Bradley-Terry 52.3% 47.7% -
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.1% 49.9% -
Efficiency 73.7% 26.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 62.5% 37.5% -
Log Adjusted 62.6% 37.4% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +2 (75-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Liggins 37 3-9 0-2 2-2 6 4 2 1 0 8 12 -
B. Knight 36 5-12 3-7 2-3 2 4 3 0 6 15 6 -
D. Miller 34 4-8 3-5 2-2 7 0 0 1 2 13 11 -
D. Lamb 32 7-12 3-4 7-8 2 3 1 0 0 24 18 -
T. Jones 28 3-17 0-3 3-6 6 0 1 1 1 9 -1 -
J. Harrellson 21 2-2 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 1 4 10 -
E. Vargas 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Hood 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Polson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Henson 31 5-10 0-0 3-7 12 2 1 3 2 13 19 -
T. Zeller 30 8-13 0-0 11-12 11 0 0 5 0 27 30 -
L. Drew II 30 2-7 0-2 3-3 3 4 1 0 2 7 6 -
D. Strickland 29 2-6 0-0 2-4 4 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
H. Barnes 25 4-10 1-3 3-4 4 1 1 0 3 12 5 -
R. Bullock Jr. 16 0-5 0-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 1 0 -
L. McDonald 12 1-4 0-3 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 -1 -
K. Marshall 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 3 0 -1 -
J. Knox 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 0 -
J. Watts 8 1-1 0-0 2-3 2 2 0 1 0 4 8 -

* = starter