Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.5% | 61.5% | +2.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 73.7% | 26.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +2 (75-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Liggins | 37 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| B. Knight | 36 | 5-12 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 6 | - |
| D. Miller | 34 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| D. Lamb | 32 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 7-8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 18 | - |
| T. Jones | 28 | 3-17 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | -1 | - |
| J. Harrellson | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| E. Vargas | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Hood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Polson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Henson | 31 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 19 | - |
| T. Zeller | 30 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 27 | 30 | - |
| L. Drew II | 30 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| D. Strickland | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| H. Barnes | 25 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| R. Bullock Jr. | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. McDonald | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - |
| K. Marshall | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Knox | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Watts | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
* = starter