Model Predictions
| Model | Butler Bulldogs | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.6 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +12 (82-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shawn Vanzant | 28 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Ronald Nored | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Matt Howard | 24 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Andrew Smith | 22 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Zach Hahn | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Shelvin Mack | 21 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Garrett Butcher | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Chase Stigall | 18 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Khyle Marshall | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Erik Fromm | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Chrishawn Hopkins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Grant Leiendecker | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Emerson Kampen | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Alex Anglin | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Smith | 35 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 13-14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Kyrie Irving | 34 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 32 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Kyle Singler | 29 | 5-10 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Seth Curry | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Casey Peters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter