Model Predictions
| Model | Bowling Green Falcons | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.4% | 97.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.7% | 98.3% | +22.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +35 (74-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Thomas | 33 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Crawford | 31 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Black | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Brown | 25 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | - |
| L. Kraus | 19 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| A. Calhoun | 17 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -4 | - |
| D. McElroy | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Oglesby | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Jakubowski | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Dabney | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Sealey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| J. Erger | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Roberts | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Summers | 27 | 4-12 | 4-11 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| K. Appling | 25 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| D. Green | 23 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| K. Lucious | 23 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| D. Roe | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 12 | - |
| A. Thornton | 17 | 4-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| G. Sherman | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Lucas | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Payne | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| M. Kebler | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Nix | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Heneveld | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Ianni | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Giard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter