Model Predictions
| Model | Wichita State Shockers | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.3% | 65.7% | +3.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +14 (83-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wichita State Shockers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.T. Durley | 30 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| T. Murry | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 4 | - |
| G. Hatch | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Ragland | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Kyles | 19 | 7-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - |
| A. Ellis | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Stutz | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| G. Blair | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| D. Williams | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| B. Smith | 12 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| E. Orukpe | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 36 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 6-9 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| K. Leonard | 34 | 6-15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 22 | - |
| M. Thomas | 29 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| B. White | 27 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 19 | - |
| C. Tapley | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| J. Rahon | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Shelton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Franklin | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Cheriet | 5 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
* = starter