Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | UConn Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.4% | 99.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +37.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UConn Huskies +33 (94-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris De La Rosa | 31 | 4-17 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Adrian Satchell | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Laurence Jolicoeur | 25 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Travis King | 24 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Chase Plummer | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Justin Fry | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Brian Neller | 17 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Jamar Wertz | 14 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jake Wasco | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Conway | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Bakari Smith | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
UConn Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kemba Walker | 30 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 13 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 24 | 33 | - |
| Roscoe Smith | 29 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Alex Oriakhi | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Niels Giffey | 22 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Jeremy Lamb | 21 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Shabazz Napier | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Tyler Olander | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jamal Coombs-McDaniel | 14 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Donnell Beverly | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Charles Okwandu | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Benjamin Stewart | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Bailey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter