Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.8% | 82.2% | +8.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +14 (68-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Abbott | 33 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | - |
| Jamelle McMillan | 32 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Trent Lockett | 29 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rihards Kuksiks | 28 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Cain | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Keala King | 20 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jordan Bachynski | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Corey Hawkins | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Carrick Felix | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ruslan Pateev | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Chanse Creekmur | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brandon Dunson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perry Jones | 36 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| A.J. Walton | 35 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 10 | - |
| LaceDarius Dunn | 33 | 6-14 | 6-12 | 6-8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 14 | - |
| Quincy Acy | 30 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Anthony Jones | 25 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Fred Ellis | 19 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| J'mison Morgan | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Stargell Love | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Nolan Dennis | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter