Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.5% | 41.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.1% | 39.9% | -2.3 | ✓ (28.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds -31 (51-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oscar Bellfield | 27 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Derrick Jasper | 27 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Tre'Von Willis | 23 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Chace Stanback | 23 | 6-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Justin Hawkins | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Anthony Marshall | 20 | 7-13 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Quintrell Thomas | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Brice Massamba | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Karam Mashour | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Hill | 26 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Alex Rubin | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Justin Clark | 23 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jackie Carmichael | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| John Wilkins | 21 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Trey Blue | 17 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Cousin | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jon Ekey | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Kenyon Smith | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tony Lewis | 13 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Blake Mishler | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zeke Upshaw | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter