Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (12.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +14 (69-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Dellavedova | 40 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 8 | - |
| M. McConnell | 37 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Jones | 35 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 9 | - |
| S. Holt | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| T. Williams | 19 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Steindl | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| K. Walker II | 14 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Young | 12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| J. Page | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Gay | 40 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| M. Thomas | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 15 | - |
| C. Tapley | 27 | 6-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| K. Leonard | 23 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| B. White | 22 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Rahon | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| T. Shelton | 18 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| B. Carlwell | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| L. Franklin | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
* = starter