Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.3% | 38.7% | -2.5 | ✓ (5.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -8 (79-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Scott | 38 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| J. Harris | 35 | 8-12 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 18 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 34 | 8-14 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 18 | - |
| J. Evans | 28 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| W. Sherrill | 21 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Sene | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| K. Harrell | 16 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. Baron | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| W. Regan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Hoffarber | 34 | 7-14 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| T. Mbakwe | 29 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 18 | 25 | - |
| A. Hollins | 26 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Iverson | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Joseph | 24 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| R. Sampson III | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Ahanmisi | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Armelin | 13 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | - |
| R. Williams | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| M. Walker | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter