Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.5% | 93.5% | +14.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.8% | 77.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm +5 (78-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Berry * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Randy Davis * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Jauwan Scaife * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Jarrod Jones * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | - |
| Malik Perry * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Pierre Sneed | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tyrae Robinson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Matt Kamieniecki | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Brownlee * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 33 | - |
| D. Hardy * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 22 | - |
| D.J. Kennedy * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| M. Boothe * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11 | - |
| D. Polee II * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| P. Horne | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| M. Stith | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Burrell | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| S. Evans | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| D. Coker | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter