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2010-11-24

Model Predictions

Model Michigan State Spartans Washington Huskies Spread Result
Elo 83.4% 16.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.2% 34.8% - โœ“
Margin 74.9% 25.1% -6.0 โœ“ (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.8% 64.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 10.3% 89.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 33.6% 66.4% - โœ—

Actual: Washington Huskies -5 (71-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kalin Lucas 31 9-13 4-5 7-11 1 2 2 0 2 29 19 -
Korie Lucious 28 3-10 1-7 2-2 3 5 1 0 3 9 5 -
Draymond Green 27 5-9 1-3 1-2 6 1 2 1 2 12 11 -
Durrell Summers 27 3-11 2-7 4-6 4 0 0 0 2 12 3 -
Garrick Sherman 25 4-5 0-0 2-2 5 0 1 2 4 10 9 -
Delvon Roe 24 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Austin Thornton 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
Keith Appling 15 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -
Adreian Payne 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 2 2 0 2 -
Mike Kebler 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Washington Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Isaiah Thomas 35 4-11 1-3 4-7 4 6 0 0 3 13 9 -
Darnell Gant 29 4-5 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 9 3 -
Justin Holiday 28 5-9 1-2 1-1 3 1 1 0 1 12 7 -
Abdul Gaddy 28 3-5 1-3 1-2 0 1 1 0 2 8 3 -
Matthew Bryan-Amaning 24 5-10 0-0 5-7 6 1 2 0 2 15 12 -
Venoy Overton 17 0-3 0-0 3-4 0 2 2 0 2 3 2 -
Aziz N'Diaye 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 5 0 1 1 2 3 7 -
Terrence Ross 14 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Scott Suggs 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 1 -
C.J. Wilcox 3 1-2 1-2 0-2 1 0 0 1 0 3 3 -

* = starter