Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 76.8% | 23.2% | -6.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 86.6% | 13.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.6% | 18.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -14 (68-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Smith | 35 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 5-7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Kyle Singler | 34 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 33 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kyrie Irving | 31 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 7-7 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Seth Curry | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 19 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| M. Plumlee | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Josh Hairston | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Tyler Thornton | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Casey Peters | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodney McGruder | 36 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jacob Pullen | 30 | 1-12 | 1-8 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -7 | - |
| Jamar Samuels | 29 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Curtis Kelly | 25 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 9 | - |
| Martavious Irving | 22 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Freddy Asprilla | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Will Spradling | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Nick Russell | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Victor Ojeleye | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Wally Judge | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Shane Southwell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jordan Henriquez | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter